Tuesday, February 2, 2010

The Sorry State of Cap-and-Trade

As Donald Marron points out, "At a time of unsustainable deficits, deficit neutrality is a remarkably lame vision for climate policy."  He explains:
Last year, President Obama proposed to raise $500 billion over ten years through a cap-and-trade system that would limit carbon emissions. This year his climate policy raises nothing.
The president still backs cap-and-trade, but he has caved into congressional pressure to give away or spend all that potential revenue rather than use it to help taxpayers. Cap-and-trade has thus become cap-and-spend.
The new policy is described as follows in a footnote to Table S-2 of the budget:
A comprehensive market-based climate change policy will be deficit neutral because proceeds from emissions allowances will be used to compensate vulnerable families, communities, and businesses during the transition to a clean energy economy. Receipts will also be reserved for investments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including support of clean energy technologies, and in adapting to the impacts of climate change, both domestically and in developing countries.
I am sympathetic to the idea that the value of some emission allowances should be used to compensate some families, communities, and businesses as the system ramps up. But studies have repeatedly found that such compensation would require only a fraction of the overall value of the allowances. There should still be plenty of room for allowances that are ear-marked for deficit reduction.

Monday, February 1, 2010

President Obama's New Budget

Click on graphic to enlarge.
From Keith Hennessey:
Again, green is last year’s proposal, blue is this year’s proposal, and dotted pink (30-years) and red (50-years) are historic averages.
We can conclude:
1.The President is proposing significantly more spending than he proposed last year: 1.8% of GDP more in 2011, and roughly 1 percentage point more each year over time.
2.Spending is and will continue to be way above historic averages.
At its lowest point in the next decade federal spending would still be 1.7 percentage points above the 30-year historic average. Over the next decade, President Obama proposes spending be 12% higher as a share of the economy than it has averaged over the past three decades.

Job Opening

I have been running the introductory economics course at Harvard together with the very capable economist Silvia Ardagna.  Sadly, Silvia is leaving Harvard next year to take a job in London.  As a result, the economics department is looking for a new person to replace Silvia as head section leader for ec 10.  The head section leader teaches one section of the course and has significant responsibilities for course administration. To learn more about this job opportunity, click here.